Entries by Steve Birenberg

Shifting to Large Cap and Growth to Finish 2025

The December update to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models sees new recommendations for both models. After five months recommending mid cap, the Market Cap model shifted to large cap. After four months at neutral the Style model changed to growth. Client accounts using our models will sell the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY) and […]

Models Stable for November

Northlake’s models continue to favor mid cap and remain neutral on growth vs. value. The models recommendations and underlying factors reflect an outlook for good market breadth and continued moderate economic growth. This outlook is consistent with our broad diversification for client portfolios that use thematic strategies but do not follow our models. For portfolios […]

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3Q25 Earnings Updates: Part One – IBM, TMUS, META, GOOG, LLY, VICI, and AAPL

IBM (IBM): IBM is growing again and the long-term setup looks better, but the stock’s run has lifted expectations. The focus now is on Software turning strong orders into recognized revenue, and on AI showing up clearly in earnings, with Red Hat anchoring the mix and durability of that growth. Early-cycle mainframe strength and tight […]

Stability in Models Amid Improved but Volatile Breadth

Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models remain neutral on growth vs. value and favor mid cap for October. This means client portfolios using our model strategy will continue to own the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY), the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF), and the Russell 1000 Value (IWD) at least through October. Client accounts using Thematic […]

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NL EPS Part Two: DIS, SONY, LLY, NXST, HD, and WMT

Disney (DIS): Disney’s latest quarter marked a significant inflection point, showcasing tangible progress in its strategic pivot towards profitable growth across its diverse empire. The Direct-to-Consumer streaming business delivered the fourth consecutive quarter of meaningful profitability, a major milestone driven by cost discipline and pricing power. Management is shifting investor focus away from raw subscriber […]

Growth Rally Cools: Style Model Slides to Neutral

Northlake’s Style model is scaling back its pro-growth stance for August, moving from Growth to Neutral. Client strategies that follow our models will trim half of the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) holding and reallocate the proceeds to the Russell 1000 Value (IWD). There is no change to the Market-Cap model, which continues to favor mid-cap […]

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2Q25 Earnings Updates: Part One – GOOG, IBM, TMUS, META, VICI, and AAPL

Alphabet (GOOG): GOOG delivered a strong reassurance to investors with its 2Q25 earnings report, underscoring its market leadership and the successful execution of its AI-first strategy. The company reported robust consolidated revenue growth of 14% year-over-year, driven by double-digit gains across Google Search & other, YouTube ads, and Subscriptions, alongside a significant 32% surge in […]