January 2009 Model Signals

Northlake’s monthly Market Cap and Style models favor Small Caps and Value for January. As a result, client and personal accounts have a position in the Russell 2000 (IWM or IJR) and the Russell 1000 Value (IWD or IVE). These positions are unchanged from December. In fact, the small cap signal has been in place […]

December 2008 Model Updates

There are no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for December. I continue to own Small Cap (IWM/IJR) and Value (IWD/IVE) for personal and client funds . As a reminder, Northlake uses monthly models to rotate ETFs trying to capture excess return relative to the S&P 500 (SPY). The models are designed to […]

November 2008 Model Signals

There are no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for November. The signals continue to be small cap and value. As a result of the update clients continue to own the Russell 2000 (IWM) and the Russell 1000 Value (IWD) to reflect the latest signals. As a reminder, these are monthly models designed […]

October 2008 Model Signals

For the first time since June 2007, Northlake’s Style model is flashing a value signal. The new signal breaks a 15 month run of growth signals. As a result of the new signal, I sold all client positions in the Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF) and purchased dollar-for-dollar in the Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWD). […]

September 2008 Models: Shifting to Small Caps

For the first time since August 2005, Northlake’s monthly Market Cap model is flashing a small cap signal. As a result, I sold all client and personal positions that tin the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY) that track this model and reinvested dollar-for-dollar in the Russell 2000 (IWM). Small caps have outperformed for several months […]

August 2008 Model Signals

Once again there were no changes to Northlake’s monthly Market Cap and Style models. The Market Cap signal remains mid cap and the Style signal remains growth. As a result, Northlake continues to own the S&P 400 (MDY) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) for assets devoted to this strategy. The Market Cap model remains […]

July 2008 Model Signals

There were no changes again this month to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models. The signals continue to flash mid cap and growth. As a result, I am maintaining client and personal positions in the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) that are dedicated to this strategy. Both signals weakened […]

June 2008 Model Signals

There were no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap or Style Model for June. The Market Cap model continues to flash a Mid Cap signal while the Style model remains firmly in growth mode. As a result, client positions in the S&P Mid Cap 400 (MDY) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) are being maintained. The […]

May 2008 Model Signals

Fresh signals from Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models are in. The Market Cap signal swung back to Mid Cap for May, while the Style signal remains Growth as it has been since last July. As a result of the new signals, I sold all positions in the S&P 500 (SPY) dedicated to this strategy […]

April 2008 Model Signals

Northlake’s Market Cap model shifted from Mid Cap to Large Cap for April. As a result, I sold all client positions in the S&P 400 ETF (MDY) and swapped into the S&P 500 Spyder (SPY). The underlying indicators in the model were unchanged. This shift occurred because the model is based on two-month smoothing and […]