There are no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for November. The Market Cap model is sending a Mid Cap signal for the second consecutive week. The Style model has a Value reading for the fifth consecutive month. Underlying trends in the Market Cap model show a continued shift toward large cap and […]
After 13 months flashing a Small Cap signal, Northlake’s Market Cap model shifted to Mid Cap for October. I had anticipated this move after steady weakening of the small cap signal over the past several months. The new mid cap signal is a weak one and could shift back next month but the message is […]
There were no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for September. The signals remain small cap and value. As a result, all client positions in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russell 1000 Value (IWD) controlled by these models will remain in place until at least the first trading day of October. August marks […]
There were no changes to Northlake’s monthly Market Cap and Style models for August. The Market Cap model is still recommending small caps and the Style model is signaling Value. The small cap signal has been in place since September 2008, while this is the second consecutive month for the value signal. As a result […]
For the first time since February, there has been a change on Northlake’s Core and Explore ETF models. The Style model has moved to Value after spending 5 months at Growth. The new Value signal is weak, just barley in Value territory on Northlake’s 0 to 100 scale. However, five of the nine underlying indicators […]
There are no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for June. The signals remain small cap and growth. As a result, client positions in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) will be maintained. The Market Cap and Style models provide monthly signals projecting relative performance of small cap vs. […]
There are no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for May. The signals continue to recommend small caps and growth. As a result, I will maintain positions in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF). There was no movement in the underlying factors of the Market Cap model. Eight of […]
There were no changes this month to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models. The signals remain small cap and growth. As a result, within the index rotation portion of client portfolios, I will continue to hold positions in the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index (IWM) and the Russell 1000 Growth Index (IWF). The small cap […]
The bear market accelerated in February. I think three things were at work. First, economic statistics on a global basis decelerated rapidly in January and February. Second, as corporations reported their year end results they confirmed the accelerating weakness in the economy. Third, Wall Street frustration with government’s response to the crisis boiled over. Put […]
Northlake’s Style model shifted from value to growth for February. Hopefully, it was only one month late. Last month was awful for value on a relative basis with the Russell 3000 Value (IWW) dropping 11.6% against a decline of just 5.6% for the Russell 3000 Growth (IWZ). The S&P 500 fell 8.6% so last month’s […]
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tim@northlakecapital.com
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