Entries by Steve Birenberg

ClubCorp Results Continue to Affirm Bull Case

ClubCorp (MYCC) reported another solid quarter further putting to bed the bear case that has led the stock to decline by more than 30% in 2016.  The concerns have revolved around the Texas economy, membership trends, lack of margin expansion and return on recent acquisitions, high debt levels, and declining participation in golf.  Each of […]

Mid Cap Favored for May

Northlake’s Market Cap model shifted to mid cap from large cap for May.  As a result, client holdings in the S&P 500 that are linked to the model will be sold and proceeds reinvested in the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY).  There is no change to the neutral reading from the Style model, so client […]

Sticking with Google

Google (GOOG/GOOGL) reported slightly disappointing revenue and lower than expected EPS against elevated street expectations for 1Q16.  The shares are trading down by -5-6% this morning.  The decline in the stock is understandable but Northlake does not feel there is much to worry about in terms of the key trends that drive Google’s business.  We […]

Liberty Media Restructures

Effective this past Monday, Liberty Media completed its restructuring into three tracking stocks.  For each share of Liberty Media (LMCA/LMCK), you received one share of Liberty Sirius (LSXMA/LSXMK), 0.10 shares of Liberty Braves (BATRA/BATRK), and 0.25 shares of new Liberty Media (LMCA/LMCK). Liberty Media is a collection of media and entertainment assets managed by John […]

Shifting to Neutral on Growth vs. Value

Northlake’s Style model flipped to neutral after a three month run favoring growth.  As a result, 50% of client positions in the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) have been with proceeds were reinvested in the Russell 1000 Value (IWD).  The Market Cap model continues to recommend large cap, so current client holdings in the S&P 500 […]

Stability in Models Despite Market Volatility

There are no changes to the recommendations from Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for March.  The Market Cap model remains on a Large Cap signal and the Style model is still recommending Growth.  With no changes to the signals this month, Northlake client assets following the models will remain invested in the S&P 500 […]

ClubCorp Story Still Intact

ClubCorp (MYCC) shares were cut in half in the first 8 weeks of 2016 as investors grew concerned about the company’s exposure to Texas.  Approximately 30% of MYCC’s country clubs are in Texas with 8% in Houston.  A second part of the problem was an extremely negative research report issued by a broker that emphasized […]

Liberty Media Making Moves to Drive Value

Liberty Media (LMCA/LMCK) reported quarterly results last week and as usual the focus was on the company’s portfolio of assets.  Liberty trades in relation to its net asset value rather than its earnings and cash flow like most stocks. There were three interesting pieces of news from the press release and conference call.  First, Liberty […]

Liberty Global Clears The Air for Renewed Growth

Following a rough stretch that management described as a perfect storm, Liberty Global (LBTYK) had some good news today.  First, 4Q15 earnings met expectations with 4% adjusted revenue growth and 6% adjusted operating cash flow growth.  This marked the second consecutive quarter of accelerating growth after a below par 1H15, exactly as management had promised.  […]

Patience To Be Rewarded for Well Positioned CBS

After a year of negative operating income growth and falling earnings estimates, CBS is back on track.  The recently reported 4Q15 showed operating income growth of over 6% and for the first time in nearly two years, analysts maintained their earnings estimates.  2016 sets up very well for CBS with a stronger national TV adverting […]