Entries by Steve Birenberg

IBM Moving in the Right Direction. Slowly.

IBM reported 3Q20 earnings last week that were largely in line with expectations and consistent with trends over the past few quarters.  The report came on the heels of a major announcement from the company that it will be spinning a big piece of its slow-growing business to increase concertation on its cloud and artificial […]

Neutral on Style for Further Risk Reduction

The October model update results in moving to neutral on the growth vs value theme in the Style model.  As a result, we have completed the sale of one half of client positions in the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) and reinvested the proceeds into the Russell 1000 Value (IWD).  We are sticking with the S&P […]

Shifting Away From Small Caps

After reviewing our models, there are changes to both the Market Cap and Style exposure.  The changes are driven by a shift in Market Cap exposure from small cap to mid cap.  This change leads to a move from small cap growth to large cap growth.  We only maintain small cap exposure in Style if […]

Activision Blizzard Shows Strong Momentum

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) reported better than expected 2Q20 earnings, beating on both the top and bottom line.  EPS of 97 cents crushed the consensus of 69 cents.  Despite the 28 cent beat, management raised 2020 guidance by 45 cents to $3.05.  Management showed a high degree of confidence in trends for the rest of 2020 […]

Execution and Sentiment Improving at ViacomCBS

ViacomCBS (VIAC) reported better than expected results in 2Q20.  Revenues were down -12% but good cost controls and some expense timing benefits led to adjusted EBITDA +8%.  Free cash flow was much better than expected even after the timing benefits.  Overall, the quarter showed progress for a company that has been viewed very negatively by […]

Disney Pivot to Digital Accelerates

Disney had a truly awful quarter.  But the stock is up 10% today!  Investors have chosen to look past the pandemic’s devastating impact on theme parks, ESPN (no live sports last quarter), and inability to release blockbuster films.  Instead, the focus is on the continuing massive success (as measured by subscribers) of Disney+ and newly […]

Still Expecting Rotation Toward Small Caps

There are no changes to the signals from Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for August.  Last month, we shifted to small caps and small cap growth and these signals remain in place.  Client positions following the models will remain invested in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWO) for at least […]

Facebook Boosted By Increased Engagement

Facebook (FB) reported a stronger than expected 2Q20 driven by large increases in engagement across its family of properties.  Social apps like Facebook and Instagram have seen a huge boost in usage during the pandemic as people stuck at home looked for social interaction.  Higher engagement led to more ads being delivered, which overcame a […]