Back to Large Cap as Trump Volatility Risk Rises

Northlake’s Market Cap model flipped from mid cap to large cap for February. The model is picking up the potential for slowing economic growth and higher inflation from policies being put in place by the new administration. Either of these outcomes for the economy historically have led small and mid-cap stocks to underperform large cap. […]

Shifting to Growth to Begin 2025

Northlake’s models start 2025 favoring mid cap and growth.  We have held mid cap for clients using our thematic models strategy since the beginning of August.  The Market Cap model recommended small cap for December.  However, we decided to go against the model and stick with mid cap awaiting more confirmation since we considered the […]

Economy and Improved Breadth Drive Latest Model Signals

Both of Northlake’s models have been on the move over the past six months.  At the start of August, the Market Cap model shifted from large cap to mid cap.  At the start of May, the Style model shifted to neutral after a yearlong run of growth signals.  These changes reflect continued strength in U.S. […]

Another Month in Favor of Mid Cap and Neutrality on Growth vs. Value

There are no changes to the recommendations from Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models following the November update.  The Market Cap model favors Mid Cap for the 4th consecutive month and the Style model remains neutral on growth vs value for the sixth straight month.  This type of consistency is typical as the models are […]

Sticking With Mid Cap and Growth While Watching Improved Breadth

There are no changes to the recommendations from Northlake’s Market Cap or Style model to start 2024.  We are sticking with Mid Cap and Growth.  Client positions following the models will continue to own the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) for at least another month.  There is underlying movement […]

Moving back to Mid Cap to End 2023

Northlake’s Market Cap model flipped from Large Cap to Mid Cap for December.  Client positions following the model sold holdings in the S&P 500 (SPY) and reinvested the proceeds in the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY).  Clients using thematic strategies but not our models already have exposure to mid and small cap through core positions […]

Models Favor Large Cap and Growth Again, but Mid Cap Could Be Next

Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models again favor large cap and growth for November.  As a result, client portfolios that use the models will continue to own the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) for at least another month.  Clients using thematic strategies but not Northlake’s models have exposure to large cap […]

Market Correction and Higher Interest Rates Trigger Shift to Large Cap

After a rough stretch for small cap stocks, Northlake’s Market Cap model shifted from mid cap to large cap.  The change was driven mostly by technical and trend indicators that took their cue from the underperformance of small cap stocks in the August and September correction.  The external indicators were less decisive, but one factor […]

Models Stick with Mid Cap and Growth Despite Market Volatility

There are no changes to the recommendations from Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for September.  The Market Cap model favors mid cap for the third straight month, while the Style model is recommending growth for the sixth consecutive month.  Client positions that follow the models will remain invested in the S&P 400 Mid Cap […]

Sticking with Mid Cap and Growth as Stock Market Breadth Expands

Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models continue to favor midcap and growth following the latest updates.  Client accounts using Northlake’s models will hold the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) for at least one more month. The Market Cap model shifted to midcap last month and the new reading shows […]