Taking A Look At Regal’s Ownership of National Cinemedia

Regal Entertainment (RGC) was one of the only green stocks on my monitor yesterday and has held up extremely well against the losuy market envrionment over the past few months. Yesterday,the stock benefited from an upgrade by Bear Stearns, even if the upgrade was only from sell to neutral. Previously, a firming box office and […]

One More Stab At AOL – Time Warner Heading Lower

Time Warner (TWX) shares fell for the 7th straight day yesterday, no doubt continuing the negative reaction since word spread that AOL might switch strategies again. The stock has dropped 5.1% in total, erasing about $3 billion in market value. As I noted in a post last week, the shift away from a subscription model […]

Disney’s Pirates Brings Big Profits

Consumers and investors tend to focus on box office and forget profits when looking at domestic box office numbers. Several analyst reports out today are looking at the profitsfor Pirates and the news is good for Disney (DIS). Analysts must have been playing it safe because several bumped their estimates by a nickel or more […]

Wall Street Journal Confirms AOL Rumors

Yesterday’s Wall Street Journal carried an article confirming the rumors I have been writing about concerning major changes at AOL. The most important takeaway is that AOL wouldn’t be considering such drastic action unless the deterioration in fundamentals was accelerating. That means dial-up subscribers are still leaving at a fast clip, broadband subscribers under the […]

Prada, Not Superman, Keeps The Box Office Growing

July 4, 2006 was a pretty good weekend for the domestic box office, making it seven straight up weekends against the easy 2005 comparisons. With the most anticipated movie of the summer, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest, hitting theatres on Friday, my bullish thesis built on a strong 2006 summer box office remains […]

Apple Implicated in Stock Options Scandal

Analysts are predictably defending Apple Computer (AAPL) on last week’s news that the company is caught up in an options backdating scandal. Merrill Lynch did a good analysis showing that options granted very close to the annual low in the share price were only 5% of total options. None of these suspect options were granted […]

Mac Sales Looking Good For Apple

News broke last week that Microsoft (MSFT) won’t have a fresh operating system or a fresh update to Office for the Christmas selling season. On the other hand, all indications are that the new consumer laptops from Apple (AAPL) are selling above initial analyst estimates (which were probably conservative). APPL shares are trading near their […]

Major Layoffs Coming at AOL? If So, It Is Bad News For Time Warner

I read a post on Henry Blodgett’s blog about two weeks ago alluding to the major layoffs at America Online (AOL). I do not know the writer, but I have found the discussion at Henry’s blog to be quite good. SInce then, more outlets are reporting rumors of large layoffs and weak advertising growth. There […]

Tribune Dutch Auction Results Provide Near-Term Support

Tribune (TRB) shares had a big pop last Tuesday after the company announced results of its dutch auction. There was no follow-through since then and the shares are trading just below the $32.50 price at which the tender was complete. TRB is buying 45 million shares at $32.50, the top end of auction range. The […]

Univision Sale Supports Upside in CETV But Has Few Other Ramifications

The Univision (UVN) auction came grinding to an end with announcement that the company would be sold for $36.50 per share or $12.3 billion. The private equity financed buyers will also assume debt of $1.4 billion. After adjusting for acash and other assets, the total value of the deal is about $13 billion. Analysts estimate […]