Apple Gearing Up For Supercycle

Apple reported a mostly inline March quarter and issued guidance for June quarter that was within its usual range.  Revenues for the March quarter fell slightly short of estimates driven by iPhone unit shipments of 50.8 million compared to consensus of 52.3 million.  That equates to about $1 billion in lost revenue relative to expectations.  […]

Steady as She Goes at Google

Google (GOOG/GOOGL) reported another solid quarter with 24% foreign exchange neutral revenue growth.  Revenue growth was driven by advertising, up 20% in constant currency terms.  Mobile is the driver with paid clicks rising 53%.  Mobile ads remain cheaper than desktop, so the shift to mobile leads to lower ad pricing (-19%) but the net growth […]

Back on Track at MGM Resorts

As expected, MGM Resorts (MGM) bounced back with a strong quarter in 1Q17 after reporting disappointing 4Q16 results. As described in our 4Q16 update, the miss was largely driven by the shift in timing of Jewish holidays compounded by management’s miscommunication of the anticipated impact to their convention business. MGM’s management took responsibility for the […]

To Xfinity and Beyond

Comcast reported another good quarter and the shares are moving up to another all-time high.  CMCSA shares are befitting from two factors.  First, the company continues to execute almost perfectly on all financial and operational metrics.  Second, the threat of onerous cable regulation has fallen sharply under the Trump Administration.  Putting the long history of […]

Deregulation to Drive Sinclair Broadcasting

Sinclair Broadcasting (SBGI) has been added to Northlake’s individual stock portfolio.  We expect transformational acquisitions to increase the company’s free cash flow by 25-50% over the next two years.  Free cash flow per share could average $6-7 on a pro forma basis for the 2017/2018 TV station cycle.  We believe this will drive the shares […]

Growth Expectations Reset at MGM Resorts

MGM Resorts (MGM) reported disappointing fourth quarter results. The miss was partially self-inflicted; previous guidance from MGM warned about a difficult year-over-year fourth quarter comparison but neglected to mention the potential impact from a shift in the timing of Jewish holidays. A related timing shift by one large convention group impacted fourth quarter EBITDA by […]

CBS Long-Term Story Very Much Intact

CBS reported mixed results for 4Q16 in a quarter where that was widely expected due to difficult comparisons.  The company showed three fewer Thursday night NFL games and lost 9 hours of primetime to election coverage.  This led to revenues and operating income declining by -2%; ignoring the discontinued radio operations that are being sold.  […]

Liberty Global Growth Acceleration Affirmed

Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported solid 4Q16 results, affirming the acceleration in the company’s growth rate that is critical to our investment thesis.  Using the company’s methodology that ignores foreign exchange fluctuations, M&A, and the new joint venture with Vodafone in the Netherlands, rebased revenues grew 3.3% and operating cash flow grew 7.5%.  Revenues were slightly […]

Relief Rally Pushes Activision Blizzard to Record High

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) reported strong sales and profits with FY17 guidance modestly below Street expectations. It appears the conservative guidance was better than most investors expected, as ATVI rallied almost 19% to a new record high of $47.64. ATVI remains on track to benefit from several secular tailwinds, including the growth of higher-margin full-game digital […]

Puts and Takes But No Significant Change for Core Holding Disney

Disney (DIS) reported its second consecutive quarter of lower year over year revenue, operating income, and earnings growth as it faces difficult comps from the massive success of Star Wars: The Force Awakens and a big step up in programming expenses due to the new NBA rights contract that went into effect this season.  While […]