Central European Media Enterprises Clarifies 2005 Guidance

Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) shares have rallied sharply since the company announced it would be holding a follow-up a conference call to expand and better explain the 2005 guidance it gave on its 1Q05 conference call. CETV shares fell sharply after 1Q earnings and guidance were issued. The 1Q numbers were a bit light […]

NTL First Quarter Earnings Recap

With all the market craziness and earnings reports, I failed to provide a follow-up regarding the first quarter earnings report for NTL (NTLI). As I expected, it was a sloppy quarter. However, as I hoped, management confirmed its subscriber guidance which suggests the worst is past. In fact, subscriber growth in the first quarter was […]

Crash A Winner For Lions Gate

While the world focused on the astounding box office numbers for the latest Star Wars film, Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF) had another successful weekend at the box office with Crash. Crash has now grossed over $27 million and has shown the best legs of any film this year, falling just 20% in each of its […]

SBS Broadcasting Starts 2005 In Fine Form

SBS Broadcasting(SBTV) reported excellent first quarter earnings on Monday. Driven by better than expected organic revenue growth in the company’s television operations, EBITDA exceeded estimates coming in at 8.1 million euros. Management affirmed prior guidance for 138 million euros EBITDA for 2005. On the call analysts asked many questions that tried to get management to […]

Disney Story Intact Following Strong Quarterly Earnings

Disney (DIS) reported strong quarterly earnings earlier this month and the follow-up conference call confirmed operating trends remain excellent across the entire company. The shares sold off a bit when the earnings were reported but have since rallied to their highest level since late April as analysts had favorable commentary and raised earnings estimates for […]

Central European Media Enterprises To Clarify 2005 Guidance

CETV announced last night that they will hold a follow-up conference call tomorrow morning to clarify 2005 guidance provided on the first quarter results conference call held on May 10. The guidance caused confusion, particularly among new shareholders who bought shares on the secondary offering, and led to a sharp drop in the shares. I […]

Lion’s Gate Entertainment: Hollywood’s New Big Cat

Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF) is the largest independent motion picture studio. The company also produces television shows and owns a library of over 6,200 films and 1,800 television episodes. LGF produces inexpensive movies by Hollywood standards with all-in costs in the neighborhood of just $20 million. The company has had success with horror films and […]

Improved Ratings At ABC Help Disney’s TV Stations

Last week, I initiated a position in Walt Disney (DIS) based on the company’s strong operating momentum and identifiable catalysts. Among the several catalysts I mentioned was the upfront market, the launch of Hong Kong Disneyland in the fall, 3Q EPS to be reported on May 11 (better than expected with rising guidance and estimates […]

Upfront Ad Market A Potential Catalyst for Disney

One of the reasons I like Disney (DIS) is that it has strong fundamental operating momentum with identifiable catalysts. One catalyst is the upfront network television advertising market that gets underway this month. The upfront market occurs each spring when the broadcast and cable television networks sell options on much of the advertising time for […]

Disney: New Buy

Disney Investment Thesis: Strong fundamentals with identifiable catalysts make DIS the choice among big-cap entertainment stocks despite its premium valuation compared to its peers. I’ve been very close to taking a long position in Disney (DIS) over the past couple of months. My working thesis has been that fundamental momentum is the strongest at DIS […]