Entries by Tim Fodor

Large Cap and Neutral Signals Remain Intact for November

For the third month in a row, there were no changes to the signals provided by Northlake’s thematic models. Northlake’s Market Cap model remained on a large cap signal for November, and the Style model remained neutral between growth and value. Current client positions in the S&P 500 (SPY) will continue to be held for […]

Sherwin Williams Reports Improved Outlook for 2018

Sherwin Williams (SHW) reported strong 2Q18 results and increased guidance for the year, reversing the reduced guidance from last quarter. Initial EPS guidance for 2018 of $19.05 was previously reduced to $18.65 reflecting new investments in an expanded partnership with Lowe’s, but SHW now expects to earn $19.20 reflecting a strong start to paint season. […]

Activision Blizzard Starts 2018 with a ‘Beat and Raise’ Quarter

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) reported 1Q18 results above expectations, but provided underwhelming guidance for 2Q18. The full year outlook for 2018 was increased slightly, but still remains below street expectations. ATVI is typically quite conservative with guidance, and combined with the back-half weighted content slate compared to 2017, we expect results to surpass guidance for the […]

Facebook Delivers Strong Results Despite Data Privacy Concerns

Facebook (FB) has recently been the focus of media scrutiny surrounding the company’s role in Russian interference in the US presidential election, the Cambridge Analytica data leak, and the Eurozone’s upcoming General Data Protection Regulations (GDPR). Despite the concerns caused by these issues, FB reported impressive 1Q18 sales and earnings results. The outlook for 2018 […]

Sherwin Williams: Betting On The Long-Term Amid Short-Term Headwinds

Sherwin Williams (SHW) beat 1Q18 sales and profit expectations, but unexpectedly reduced 2018 consolidated earnings guidance from $19.05 to $18.65 reflecting new investments in an expanded partnership with Lowe’s. SHW expects to recoup the entire $0.40 2018 EPS impact in 2019, noting that the incremental investment would be accretive to sales and profits next year. […]

Activision Blizzard Resets the Bar Lower for 2018

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) once again beat expectations upon announcing 4Q17 and 2017 results. However, guidance for 1Q18 and 2018 were mixed, with full year guidance generally in line with expectations while 1Q18 guidance appeared a bit light. ATVI has demonstrated a consistent pattern of issuing conservative guidance and then outperforming each quarter. Northlake believes ATVI […]

Sherwin Williams Successfully Integrating Valspar Acquisition

Sherwin Williams (SHW) reported solid 4Q17 results slightly above consensus sales and earnings estimates. Heading into 2018, SHW expects earnings per share between $18.80 and $19.30 excluding Valspar acquisition-related expenses of $3.45. Importantly, SHW noted that most of the remaining costs to achieve the estimated $385-$415 million of annual acquisition synergies will be booked in […]

Activision Blizzard Experiences Step Change in Shift to Digital

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) reported better-than-expected top and bottom line 3Q17 results. The strong quarter flowed through to increases in 2017 sales and earnings guidance. Important game launches including Destiny 2 and Call of Duty:WWII appear to have gone well so far. Other key franchises such as Hearthstone, World of Warcraft, and Candy Crush continue to […]

MGM Resorts Overcoming Short Term Pain for Long Term Gain

Third quarter results at MGM Resorts International (MGM) were above expectations, largely due to a boost from two massively popular boxing events during the prior three months. MGM also benefited from slightly above average luck on gaming profits. The strong results were offset by disappointing guidance for the fourth quarter after MGM experienced elevated reservation […]