One of my most important reactions to breaking news or rumors is to get my thoughts down on paper. This allows me to organize my ideas, determine questions and get a handle on how the stock market may initially react to the news. I’ve written recently about how mergers and acquisitions have returned to the […]
Merger and acquisition rumors have reemerged as drivers of media stocks after a mutli-year absence. The latest rumor was posted by The Wall Street Journal in a Heard on the Street column speculating about a possible Verizon Communications Inc. takeover of DIRECTV Group Inc. The speculation emanated from Verizon CEO Ivan Seidenberg discussing TV as […]
https://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-10-01 09:04:252026-03-17 16:56:03M&A Back in the Forefront of Media Investing
Media stocks continue to be market leaders in the latest phase of the stock market rally. The market rally is based on improved sentiment and data toward a global economic recovery. Most revenue drivers for media companies are highly sensitive to economic growth so it is not surprising that media stocks are among the sectors […]
https://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-09-17 08:59:222026-03-17 16:56:03Renewed Takeover Speculation Adds Another Leg to Media Stock Rally
There were no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for September. The signals remain small cap and value. As a result, all client positions in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russell 1000 Value (IWD) controlled by these models will remain in place until at least the first trading day of October. August marks […]
https://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-09-03 10:12:532026-03-17 16:56:03September Models Still Favor Small Caps and Value
On Monday, I sold half of Northlake’s positions in CBS in each account that holds the stock. My reasoning is that the stock has risen 80% since purchasing it just 7 weeks ago. This spectacular rise caused CBS positions to approach 4% of equity portfolios. That is a high threshold for me, especially in a […]
https://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-08-25 14:36:042026-03-17 16:56:03Sold Half of CBS
Most media companies report quarterly earnings in a two week span beginning with the last week of the first month of each calendar quarter. Below is a two-part recap of second quarter earnings season that was originally published on the Dow of Steve Blog at SNL Kagan Interactive. Week One Recap: July 27 – July […]
https://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-08-17 07:57:482026-03-17 16:56:03Stability Without Recovery Defines Second Quarter Media Earnings
CBS reported 8 cents on revenue of $3.01 billion against consensus of 7 cents and $3.05 billion. EBITDA of $387 million was at the top of end expectations and includes about $20 million of what could be considered one-time charges. Most importantly to the outlook for the stock, the company maintained 2009 EBITDA guidance. Many […]
Discovery Communications reported another positive surprise, making it three straight quarters. Revenue matched expectations but superb performance on costs allowed EBITDA to come at $381 million vs. analyst estimates ranging from $341 million to $356 million. EPS were in line after adjusting for one-time but would have been higher if not for a high tax […]
https://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-08-04 09:03:152026-03-17 16:56:03Discovery Communication Reports Another Positive Surprise
There were no changes to Northlake’s monthly Market Cap and Style models for August. The Market Cap model is still recommending small caps and the Style model is signaling Value. The small cap signal has been in place since September 2008, while this is the second consecutive month for the value signal. As a result […]
https://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-08-03 14:20:292026-03-17 16:56:04August 2009 Model Signals Favor Small Caps and Value
Disney’s (DIS) third-quarter 2009 report looked a lot like its second-quarter 2009 report. Trends remain weak but are not getting any worse. EPS beat by a penny while revenue fell slightly short of expectations. The revenue miss led to CNBC headlines and a post-report sell-off in the shares, but the miss appears to emanate from […]
Iniital Thoughts on Comcast-NBCU Merger
One of my most important reactions to breaking news or rumors is to get my thoughts down on paper. This allows me to organize my ideas, determine questions and get a handle on how the stock market may initially react to the news. I’ve written recently about how mergers and acquisitions have returned to the […]
M&A Back in the Forefront of Media Investing
Merger and acquisition rumors have reemerged as drivers of media stocks after a mutli-year absence. The latest rumor was posted by The Wall Street Journal in a Heard on the Street column speculating about a possible Verizon Communications Inc. takeover of DIRECTV Group Inc. The speculation emanated from Verizon CEO Ivan Seidenberg discussing TV as […]
Renewed Takeover Speculation Adds Another Leg to Media Stock Rally
Media stocks continue to be market leaders in the latest phase of the stock market rally. The market rally is based on improved sentiment and data toward a global economic recovery. Most revenue drivers for media companies are highly sensitive to economic growth so it is not surprising that media stocks are among the sectors […]
September Models Still Favor Small Caps and Value
There were no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for September. The signals remain small cap and value. As a result, all client positions in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russell 1000 Value (IWD) controlled by these models will remain in place until at least the first trading day of October. August marks […]
Sold Half of CBS
On Monday, I sold half of Northlake’s positions in CBS in each account that holds the stock. My reasoning is that the stock has risen 80% since purchasing it just 7 weeks ago. This spectacular rise caused CBS positions to approach 4% of equity portfolios. That is a high threshold for me, especially in a […]
Stability Without Recovery Defines Second Quarter Media Earnings
Most media companies report quarterly earnings in a two week span beginning with the last week of the first month of each calendar quarter. Below is a two-part recap of second quarter earnings season that was originally published on the Dow of Steve Blog at SNL Kagan Interactive. Week One Recap: July 27 – July […]
Confident CBS Predicts Strong Second Half Recovery
CBS reported 8 cents on revenue of $3.01 billion against consensus of 7 cents and $3.05 billion. EBITDA of $387 million was at the top of end expectations and includes about $20 million of what could be considered one-time charges. Most importantly to the outlook for the stock, the company maintained 2009 EBITDA guidance. Many […]
Discovery Communication Reports Another Positive Surprise
Discovery Communications reported another positive surprise, making it three straight quarters. Revenue matched expectations but superb performance on costs allowed EBITDA to come at $381 million vs. analyst estimates ranging from $341 million to $356 million. EPS were in line after adjusting for one-time but would have been higher if not for a high tax […]
August 2009 Model Signals Favor Small Caps and Value
There were no changes to Northlake’s monthly Market Cap and Style models for August. The Market Cap model is still recommending small caps and the Style model is signaling Value. The small cap signal has been in place since September 2008, while this is the second consecutive month for the value signal. As a result […]
Disney Quarter Shows Stability But No Improvement
Disney’s (DIS) third-quarter 2009 report looked a lot like its second-quarter 2009 report. Trends remain weak but are not getting any worse. EPS beat by a penny while revenue fell slightly short of expectations. The revenue miss led to CNBC headlines and a post-report sell-off in the shares, but the miss appears to emanate from […]