As outlined in recent posts, we expected the weakness experienced by the market the last few days. Besides the poor corporate earnings, which was the catalyst we expected would cause a pullback, oil prices have spiked up again to their recent highs. High energy prices are actually part of our thesis for expecting weak earnings, […]
The Fed raised rates 25 basis points and kept its commentary relatively unchanged. The market responded with a small rally. The focus will now shift back to earnings, which we expect to kick off a pullback in stock prices. Oil as moved up to its highest levle in about a month which also presents a […]
The Dow and S&P were weak on Monday in the face of earnings warnings from Colgate Palmolive, New York Times, and PMC Sierra. Colgate fell 11%, NY Times fell 2%, but PMC actually rose 4% and kicked off a rally in the NASDAQ led by semiconductor stocks. The NASDAQ rally was a surprise but doesn’t […]
Lehman Brothers had some interesting research out this morning regarding the seasonality of stock prices as it relates to the third and fourth quarters and election years. This research supports our view posted earlier today of near-term caution followed by year end strength….
The market enters the second half of September near its recent highs after a strong rally off the early August lows. Northlake’s recommended stocks and models have performed well in the rally but we are beginning to take a more cautious view. Quarterly earnings season is about to start and…
No changes to the signals from Northlake’s Market Capitalization and Style models for September. The Market Cap model signal favors Large Cap. This model favored either small or mid cap from late 1999 through May of 2004. A Large Cap signal emerged in June but shifted back to Mid Cap in July. August and September […]
The market staged a comback at the end of the month on low volume enabling the S&P 500 to eke out a small gain of about 3/10ths of 1%. Our models and special situations worked well last month with all four special situation stocks up and the August signals from both models working effectively. Northlake’s […]
The website is coming around and will soon be fully functional with links to your account (if it is in custody at Schwab Institutional) and lots of discussion on our private blog. Bear with us just a short while longer and hope that the recent bullish action continues.
Market Fades
As outlined in recent posts, we expected the weakness experienced by the market the last few days. Besides the poor corporate earnings, which was the catalyst we expected would cause a pullback, oil prices have spiked up again to their recent highs. High energy prices are actually part of our thesis for expecting weak earnings, […]
Fed As Expected
The Fed raised rates 25 basis points and kept its commentary relatively unchanged. The market responded with a small rally. The focus will now shift back to earnings, which we expect to kick off a pullback in stock prices. Oil as moved up to its highest levle in about a month which also presents a […]
Monday’s Action
The Dow and S&P were weak on Monday in the face of earnings warnings from Colgate Palmolive, New York Times, and PMC Sierra. Colgate fell 11%, NY Times fell 2%, but PMC actually rose 4% and kicked off a rally in the NASDAQ led by semiconductor stocks. The NASDAQ rally was a surprise but doesn’t […]
Stock Market Seasonality
Lehman Brothers had some interesting research out this morning regarding the seasonality of stock prices as it relates to the third and fourth quarters and election years. This research supports our view posted earlier today of near-term caution followed by year end strength….
A Little Cautious
The market enters the second half of September near its recent highs after a strong rally off the early August lows. Northlake’s recommended stocks and models have performed well in the rally but we are beginning to take a more cautious view. Quarterly earnings season is about to start and…
September Model Signals
No changes to the signals from Northlake’s Market Capitalization and Style models for September. The Market Cap model signal favors Large Cap. This model favored either small or mid cap from late 1999 through May of 2004. A Large Cap signal emerged in June but shifted back to Mid Cap in July. August and September […]
August Wrap-Up
The market staged a comback at the end of the month on low volume enabling the S&P 500 to eke out a small gain of about 3/10ths of 1%. Our models and special situations worked well last month with all four special situation stocks up and the August signals from both models working effectively. Northlake’s […]
Progress
The website is coming around and will soon be fully functional with links to your account (if it is in custody at Schwab Institutional) and lots of discussion on our private blog. Bear with us just a short while longer and hope that the recent bullish action continues.
Still Testing
Please note that we are just up and running and all you see are tests. Our whole look will change over the next few weeks so please come back.