CETV To Open NASDAQ Today

Central European Media Enterprises is ringing the opening bell at the NASDAQ today to celebrate the 10th anniversary of is stock listing. CETV is a unique play on the development of Central and Eastern Europe economies. Below are excerpts from comments by Ronald Lauder and Michael Garin, CETV’s most senior executives. These comments succinctly capture […]

October Model Signals

For October, Northlake’s Market Capitalization favors Mid Cap, a change from the prior two months when Large Cap was favored. Northlake’s Style Model for October remains firmly in Value mode….

September Wrap-Up

Northlake’s ETF Plus Model Portfolio performed well in September, gaining 1.95% vs. 0.94% for the S&P 500. Northlake’s special situation stocks powered the returns with CETV gaining 3.6%, MOT gaining 12.0%, MBFI gaining 5.5%, and NTLI gaining 14.3%….

Media Stocks

I am a long-time investor and analyst in media stocks of all shapes and sizes. I like media stocks becuase the business is fairly simple, free cash flow capabilities are excellent, and US companies have an unrivavled global competitive position. Presently, Northlake’s model portfolio contains two media stocks, Central European Media Enterprises and NTL, Inc. […]

Market Fades

As outlined in recent posts, we expected the weakness experienced by the market the last few days. Besides the poor corporate earnings, which was the catalyst we expected would cause a pullback, oil prices have spiked up again to their recent highs. High energy prices are actually part of our thesis for expecting weak earnings, […]

Fed As Expected

The Fed raised rates 25 basis points and kept its commentary relatively unchanged. The market responded with a small rally. The focus will now shift back to earnings, which we expect to kick off a pullback in stock prices. Oil as moved up to its highest levle in about a month which also presents a […]

Monday’s Action

The Dow and S&P were weak on Monday in the face of earnings warnings from Colgate Palmolive, New York Times, and PMC Sierra. Colgate fell 11%, NY Times fell 2%, but PMC actually rose 4% and kicked off a rally in the NASDAQ led by semiconductor stocks. The NASDAQ rally was a surprise but doesn’t […]

Stock Market Seasonality

Lehman Brothers had some interesting research out this morning regarding the seasonality of stock prices as it relates to the third and fourth quarters and election years. This research supports our view posted earlier today of near-term caution followed by year end strength….

A Little Cautious

The market enters the second half of September near its recent highs after a strong rally off the early August lows. Northlake’s recommended stocks and models have performed well in the rally but we are beginning to take a more cautious view. Quarterly earnings season is about to start and…

September Model Signals

No changes to the signals from Northlake’s Market Capitalization and Style models for September. The Market Cap model signal favors Large Cap. This model favored either small or mid cap from late 1999 through May of 2004. A Large Cap signal emerged in June but shifted back to Mid Cap in July. August and September […]