More Thoughts on Apple

In my Apple (AAPL) earnings summary on Tuesday, I said there were enough issues to prevent the stock from staging a quick rebound. Those issues don’t justify the type of decline we saw yesterday (down big intraday), but the stock is overowned, and as Jim Cramer pointed out, the big money is rotating away from […]

Apple: Not Good Enough For This Stock

I am not going to recap all the numbers from Apple as you can read that elsewhere. The December quarter was very good but not without issues. Mac and iPod sales came in a little below aggressive estimates. This was easily made up by better than expected ASPs. A bigger issue will be that US […]

Best Case For Apple

I’ll be covering Apple’s earnings call after the close. Here is my preview. I decided to look at aggressive assumptions to see where a best case scenario might be for the December quarter. Since the stock needs both a substantial beat and decent guidance I wanted to see what the beat might look like. Here […]

Apple 1Q08 Preview

Another Apple earnings report comes after the close today, so time for lots more overanalysis and outsized volatility in the usually volatile shares. Estimates have been rising as the quarter went along since it became apparent that Mac sales were booming. News from MacWorld that Leopard and iPhone sales were ahead of expectations in the […]

Disappointing Guidance From Rogers

Before the open on Monday, Rogers Communications (RCI) announced 4Q07 subscriber growth below expectations, doubled its dividend, initiated its first ever share repurchase, and reported mixed 2008 guidance. In response, RCI shares fell 6.2%. I decided to hold off on writing up my thoughts until the smoke cleared and following a little defense by a […]

NII Holdings Gets Back On Track

Yesterday, NII Holdings (NIHD) announced better than expected 4Q07 subscriber growth, completion of a large buyback, initiation of another buyback, and an impressive new CEO. The shares were up 9.5%. I added NIHD to a new account, the only one I have that didn’t already own a full position, just after the open yesterday and […]

Why I Bought News Corporation

Back in July, I wrote a review of News Corporation for RealMoney.com outlining the bull case. The analysis remains relevant today so in light of the purchase of News Corporation shares for Northlake clients earlier this week, I am reproducing the article so you can learn more about this new holding…. I like News Corporation […]

Selling Comcast. Buying News Corporation.

Partially driven by tax considerations, I sold Northlake’s entire position in Comcast yesterday. I used the proceeds to purchase a full position in News Corporation. I completed this trade across Northlake’s entire base of separately managed client accounts and in my two main personal accounts. The Comcast long proved to be disastrous. My analysis of […]

Morgan Stanley Upgrades Comcast

Morgan Stanley, which was early, aggressive, and correct with a bearish outlook for cable stocks upgraded its industry outlook yesterday to attractive. Comcast was raised from a sell to a buy. Here is a summary from the morning notes on Comcast: “We base our upgrade on three factors. First, concerns over a maturing product set […]

I Was Wrong On Comcast

I enjoyed going on TV with my buddy Cody Willard. Unfortunately, since I debated Comcast with Cody and took the bull side, I’ll probably never get invited back! Not much I can say at this point other than admit the bullish stance I took in July when the stock was $27 was wrong. Nevertheless, I […]