Time Warner (TWX) shares are down 10.8% so far this year, lagging most other large cap media stocks. News Corp (NWS) is down 6.1%, Disney (DIS) is down just 3.7%, and Viacom (VIA) is down 5.2%. The largest single component of TWX’s valuation is Time Warner Cable (TWC), whose shares are down less than 1%. […]
Controversy about monetization of revenue and profits at MySpace has held back shares of News Corp so far this year despite outstanding December quarter earnings, increased guidance for the fiscal year ending this June, and commentary from Rupert Murdoch and other senior executives stating that so far the company is feeling any impact from the […]
Apple has staged a strong recovery, rising 33% from its 2008 intraday low in late February. The beta effect during the recent rally certainly has helped but continuing good news on Mac sales and speculation over the 3G iPhone have been equally responsible. A long-time friend and institutional salesperson, JK, recently IM”d me noting that […]
I was quite pleased with the 4Q07 results, 2008 guidance, and conference call from American Apparel (APP), which reported after the close last night. The consensus I was using consisted of just one analyst so it wasn’t really meaningful. Just three analysts asked questions on the call but they were enthusiastic, asked a lot of […]
Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) shares have steadied since the sharp fall last week following announcement and pricing of their convertible deal. The timing on the convert was terrible coming in the midst of the market’s meltdown. I think the fact that it included a complicated capped call transaction made folks shutter as complicated is […]
The UK newspaper The Observer is reporting that it has seen a new memo outlining possible private equity approaches to Virgin Media. VMED has been a rumored private target for some time and it is generally accepted that private equity made an offer in upper $20s or low $30s over a year ago. VMED is […]
CETV announced a $425 million convertible offering after the close yesterday with a $50 million green shoe. Proceeds will be used to acquire another 30% of its operations in Ukraine, bringing control and 90% ownership. Given its strong balance sheet, CETV didn’t need to raise this money to fund the $210 million Ukraine purchase so […]
Viacom reported solid results that were at the high end of expectations but I would not call it an upside surprise. Guidance for 2008 was for low double digit EPS growth which would put EPS in line with the current consensus. I think the results and guidance are good enough to support the recently improved […]
Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) reported excellent 4Q07 results easily beating estimates on revenues, EBITDA, and EPS. Revenues and EBITDA grew 40% and 33%, respectively, with all six countries where the company owns TV stations or networks beating my estimate for revenue and five of the six countries beating my estimate for EBITDA. To gain […]
Cablevision reported better than expected results driven by its core Cable operations and Madison Square Garden. Revenues grew 11% to $1.84 billion ahead of consensus of $1.78 billion. EBITDA grew 20% to $610 million, ahead of estimates for $560 million. Financial and subscriber metrics at the Cable systems were better than expected. Revenues rose 8.6%, […]
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