Nexstar Reports Better than Expected Ahead of Political Tidal Wave

Nexstar Media Group (NXST) reported better than expected results in 2Q20 across revenue, EBITDA, and FCF.  The stock initially rallied sharply as would be expected but other traditional media companies that reported over the past 24 hours had lesser results and that eventually caught up with NXST and the shares traded down -4% which amazingly […]

Less Cyclical Nexstar Sustaining Free Cash Flow

Nexstar Media Group (NXST) shares responded well to the company’s 1Q20 earnings report as investors gained a better understanding of the stability of the company’s free cash flow.  Shares in NXST were pummeled in the initial stages of the COVID-19 crisis despite a much less cyclical financial profile than the company had in Great Financial […]

Nexstar Shines Amid Market Selloff

Nexstar Media Group reported excellent 4Q19 results and raised its guidance for 2020/2021 average annual free cash flow by 15%.  In a normal market this news would have been greeted by a sharp rise in the stock price, arguably up 5-10% or more.  Alas, Nexstar reported right into the teeth of the market sell-off on […]

Positive Outlook at Nexstar as Tribune Acquisition Closes

Nexstar Media Group (NXST) has been one of Northlake’s best performing stocks this year.  The shares are up 38%, including a gain of about 10% since the company reported third quarter earnings last week.  NXST has attracted investors due to its highly accretive acquisition of Tribune, which makes NXST the largest owner of local TV […]

Nexstar Poised for Acquisition Catalyst

Nexstar Media Group (NXST) reported 2Q results very slightly below consensus estimates.  All guidance was reiterated.  The company guides based on average 2018 and 2019 results given the highly cyclical nature of revenues due to political and Olympic advertising only occurring in even years.  Management is careful about guidance and admitted on the call that […]

Nexstar Preparing to Close Accretive Acquisition of Tribune

Nexstar Media Group (NXST) reported solid 1Q19 earnings with all important metrics matching Wall Street expectations.  Core advertising, retransmission fees, and profit margins all stayed on the recent positive trend.  Advertising has improved since last fall providing a nice boost to investor confidence.  Retransmission or subscription fees are now about half of revenues making NXST […]

Bullish Outlook Affirmed at Nexstar Media Group

Nexstar Media Group (NXST) reported strong 4Q18 results and issued positive initial guidance for 2019 and 2020 on a standalone basis.  NXST should complete its acquisition of Tribune Media in 3Q18 and reiterated initial guidance that the combined company will earn at least $900 million in average free cash flow in the 2019/2020 cycle.  Local […]

Election Cycle Powers Nexstar to Beat and Raise

Powered by the intense election fight, political ad sales drove Nexstar Media Group (NXST) to better than expected 3Q18 earnings.  Management raised guidance for the year based on the political ad spending.  Importantly, management also noted that after accounting for the displacement of core non-political advertising, traditional ad spending has modestly strengthened and is approaching […]

Nexstar Reaffirms Industry Leadership

Nexstar Media Group (NXST) reported another solid quarter, further cementing the company as the most consistent, highest quality local TV broadcaster.  A boom in political TV advertising and excellent expense control led to the company beating expectations for EBITDA, the key valuation metric for the industry.  Critical to NXST and the industry is converting EBITDA […]

Nexstar Media Group Reiterates Strong Free Cash Flow Guidance

Nexstar Media Group reported inline but mixed results for 1Q18. Importantly, the company reiterated its 2018 guidance for $13.10 in average annual free cash flow per share in 2018 and 2019.  The political cycle leads investors in local TV broadcasters to look at valuation on a two year basis.  Normally, Northlake tries to avoid a […]