Growth Challenges Remain for Liberty Global

Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported another quarter of mixed results.  Headline numbers continue to track to guidance that assumes acceleration in growth in the second half of 2018.  There is evidence in the first half results that the acceleration will occur.  However, there is still quality of earnings issues and the company’s overall growth profile beyond […]

Further Improvement at Liberty Global

We have been wrong on Liberty Global (LBTYK) for more than two years.  The shares peaked at over $50 in 2015 and now sit at $30.  The $50 price was fed by takeover speculation but even so the shares have vastly underperformed a bull market.  The shares have still returned over 50% from our original […]

Liberty Global Lowers Growth Guidance

Liberty Global (LBTYK) remains a troubled stock after reporting mixed 1Q17 results and lowering full year guidance for growth in operating cash flow.  The shares performed poorly last year but bounced back strongly to start this year.  Unfortunately, the sharp down move post the 1Q17 earnings report last week lost all of the year to […]

Liberty Global Growth Acceleration Affirmed

Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported solid 4Q16 results, affirming the acceleration in the company’s growth rate that is critical to our investment thesis.  Using the company’s methodology that ignores foreign exchange fluctuations, M&A, and the new joint venture with Vodafone in the Netherlands, rebased revenues grew 3.3% and operating cash flow grew 7.5%.  Revenues were slightly […]

Expecting LBTYK to Rise from Here

Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported a slightly weaker than expected quarter, much as we expected.  Admittedly, with rebased revenue growth of 4% and operating cash flow growth of 2%, the results were a bit less than our low expectations.  But we always have thought that after a rough 12 months, 2Q16 would mark the low point […]

Liberty Global On Track Despite Weak Start to Year

Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported slightly disappointing 1Q16 earnings.  However, the 2016 was maintained and the long-term story is intact.  Management made a strong case that any shortfalls were not unexpected based on internal budgeting and investors and analysts seemed to buy it as the shares finished positive after starting lower in response to the headlines. […]

Liberty Global Clears The Air for Renewed Growth

Following a rough stretch that management described as a perfect storm, Liberty Global (LBTYK) had some good news today.  First, 4Q15 earnings met expectations with 4% adjusted revenue growth and 6% adjusted operating cash flow growth.  This marked the second consecutive quarter of accelerating growth after a below par 1H15, exactly as management had promised.  […]

All Quiet On Liberty Front For Now

It was a quiet quarter for the Liberty Media family of companies owned in Northlake client portfolios.  We could get some fresh news on these event driven stocks later this week when Liberty hosts its annual analyst meeting in New York.  We will be attending this year. Liberty Media (LMCA) remains tied to its 60% […]

Growth Liftoff Coming at Liberty Global

Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported results right in line with Wall Street estimates for its 2Q15.  Adjusted growth in revenues and operating cash flow were both up about 3%.  We expect that 2Q15marked the last quarter where LBTYK reports slower growth.  Management agrees and reiterated its guidance for a pickup to mid-single digit growth or higher […]

Transitional Quarter for Liberty Global

Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported a sloppy set of 1Q15 results mostly explained by difficult comparison based on one-time items.  Management reiterated all of its 2015 guidance for revenue, operating cash flow (OCF), free cash flow (FCF), and subscriber growth.  Nevertheless, these results clipped the stock by 3% and it seems likely that the shares will […]