Central European Media Enterprises: Even Better Than Expected

I will likely have some follow-up comments on CETV after I check in with management and my key analyst contacts. Below is my commentary as written immediatley following completion of the conference call. The stock traded off because ivnestors are selling assets exposed to emerging markets risk. I think the quarter shows CETV is even […]

Expecting A Strong Quarter From Central European Media Enterprises

Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) should report robust 4Q06 growth. I am forecasting revenues to rise 17% and EBITDA to grow 22%. Strong ratings in 2H06, a return to positive comparisons in the Czech Republic, improved execution in the Czech Republic, and favorable currency comparisons support the growth profile. CETV shares are up about 15% […]

Central European Media Enterprises: I Have Company For My $100 Target

Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) broker out to new highs this week following an upgrade from Czech-based analyst Tibor Bokor of Wood Company. Tibor sharply raised his estimates for 2007 and 2008 and increased his price target to $100. Tibor’s new optimism is based on his analysis of the likely 2007 and 2008 resutls for […]

Good Quarter For CETV But Someone is Unhappy

Despite the extremely negative stock price action, I found Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) Q06 earnings report to be quite good. Good enough, in fact, to use the weakness to add CETV to some brand new accounts. I have spoken with company, several street analysts, and one of the major shareholders and all agree that […]

Looking For A Good Quarter and Optimistic Guidance from CETV

Tomorrow, I expect Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) to report another strong quarter in its seasonally weak 3Q. Romania and Ukraine will again be the growth engines but the big story will be the turnaround at TV Nova in the Czech Republic. In 1H06, CETV reset expectations and initiated a new strategy at Nova designed […]

Central European Media Enterprises In NY Times and Wall Street Journal

Yesterday’s New York Times had a major article about Ronald Lauder’s investment in Central European Media Enterprises (CETV). In an odd coincidence, the Wall Street Journal had an article the same day about the attractive television markets in Central and Eastern Europe. My good friend and major CETV shareholder, Mark Riely, was mentioned in both […]

Central European Media Enterprises: Analyst Meeting Goes Well and Affirms Near-Term and Long-Term Upside

I spent last Thursday at the annual analyst meeting for Central European Media Enterprises (CETV). The news was good as CETV slightly raised EBITDA guidance due to more rapid than expected improvement at TV Nova in the Czech Republic. Results at this station are the most critical aspect of the CETV story for the next […]

Ronald Lauder Sells Half Of His Control Position in CETV

Apparently, Ronald Lauder has decided to pay for his $135 million acquisition of Gustav Klimt’s Adele Bloch-Bauer I by monetizing half of his 15.8% stake in Central European Media Enterprises (CETV). Last June, it was revealed that Lauder was buying the Klimt and paying the highest price ever for a painting, easily exceeding the $104 […]

Central European Media Enterprises: Good News From Czech Republic

Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) reported solid 2Q06 results, comfortably matching my expectations. As usual, the composition of results was a little different than what I expected but the bottom line is that the quarter affirms my enthusiasm for CETV, especially relative to current expectations for 2007. CETV shares are quite weak despite what I […]

Central European Media Enterprises Earnings Preview

Due technology issues the following post is being added now even though it was written over 24 hours ago 2Q06 will be a tricky quarter to analyze for Central European Media Enterprises primarily due to the repositioning of its largest station, TV Nova in the Czech Republic. Self-induced changes will push Nova’s year-over-year comparisons deeply […]