Entries by Tim Fodor

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Alphabet: Solid 3Q18 Results

Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL) outperformed 3Q18 earnings estimates despite slightly missing on revenues for the first time since 1Q16. The sales shortfall was largely driven by foreign exchange losses in Brazil and Argentina due to the stronger US dollar. Revenues still grew 21%, or 22% after adjusting for the currency impact. Operating expenses were up 26%, pacing […]

Sherwin Williams Reduces Top End of Guidance

For the third quarter in a row, Sherwin Williams (SHW) adjusted 2018 EPS guidance. In 1Q18, SHW dropped the estimate from $19.05 to $18.65 due to new investments in an expanded partnership with Lowe’s. Then in 2Q18, SHW turned around and increased EPS to $19.20 after a strong start to the year. Now in 3Q18, […]

Activision Blizzard: Conservative 3Q18 Guidance Concerns Investors

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) reported 3Q18 revenues matching estimates with EPS ahead of expectations. However, implied 4Q18 guidance was weaker than expected, sending the shares sharply lower. While the guidance was likely conservative given the highly competitive holiday season this year, 3Q18 results were not good enough to support the stock in a punishing environment for […]

Large Cap and Neutral Signals Remain Intact for November

For the third month in a row, there were no changes to the signals provided by Northlake’s thematic models. Northlake’s Market Cap model remained on a large cap signal for November, and the Style model remained neutral between growth and value. Current client positions in the S&P 500 (SPY) will continue to be held for […]

Sherwin Williams Reports Improved Outlook for 2018

Sherwin Williams (SHW) reported strong 2Q18 results and increased guidance for the year, reversing the reduced guidance from last quarter. Initial EPS guidance for 2018 of $19.05 was previously reduced to $18.65 reflecting new investments in an expanded partnership with Lowe’s, but SHW now expects to earn $19.20 reflecting a strong start to paint season. […]

Activision Blizzard Starts 2018 with a ‘Beat and Raise’ Quarter

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) reported 1Q18 results above expectations, but provided underwhelming guidance for 2Q18. The full year outlook for 2018 was increased slightly, but still remains below street expectations. ATVI is typically quite conservative with guidance, and combined with the back-half weighted content slate compared to 2017, we expect results to surpass guidance for the […]

Facebook Delivers Strong Results Despite Data Privacy Concerns

Facebook (FB) has recently been the focus of media scrutiny surrounding the company’s role in Russian interference in the US presidential election, the Cambridge Analytica data leak, and the Eurozone’s upcoming General Data Protection Regulations (GDPR). Despite the concerns caused by these issues, FB reported impressive 1Q18 sales and earnings results. The outlook for 2018 […]

Sherwin Williams: Betting On The Long-Term Amid Short-Term Headwinds

Sherwin Williams (SHW) beat 1Q18 sales and profit expectations, but unexpectedly reduced 2018 consolidated earnings guidance from $19.05 to $18.65 reflecting new investments in an expanded partnership with Lowe’s. SHW expects to recoup the entire $0.40 2018 EPS impact in 2019, noting that the incremental investment would be accretive to sales and profits next year. […]