Entries by Steve Birenberg

Mid Cap and Value Still Favored for February

There were no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style model signals for February. The Market Cap model continues to favor mid cap, while the Style model still recommends value. As a result of the latest signals, Northlake clients will maintain positions in the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY) and the Russell 1000 Value (IWD). […]

Google Brings Good Earnings But Uncertainty Prevails. For Now.

Despite another strong earnings report, Wall Street is worried about the implications of Google’s management change. Is it a sign that things are not as good as earnings make them appear? It has been an interesting several trading days in Google (GGOG) shares. After the close on Thursday, January 20th, GOOG reported very good 4Q10 […]

Apple Reports “Beat and Raise” in an Unusual Occurence

Following the disclosure that Steve Jobs would take a medical leave of absence, Apple reported another in a string of incredibly strong quarterly earnings reports. The reported numbers easily beat expectations. Revenue upside came mostly from higher than expected selling prices with unit volumes in line with the high end of expectations. iPad volumes were […]

Good Thoughts on Jobs and Apple

Walter Piecyk, an analyst I know at BTIG, wrote the following brief comment on Apple and published it this morning. The volume of Wall Street commentary on Apple this morning is enormous as expected. Walter’s note best captures my thinking so I reproduce it here with the hope that Walter and BTIG don’t mind. “The […]

Virgin Media Still Looking Good

Last Friday, I attended Virgin Media’s (VMED) analyst meeting in New York. Here are my thoughts: Despite jumping from $15 to $27 since Janaury 2010, VMED still has excellent upside as free cash flow is set to accelerate and management appears very disciplined toward using it to pay down debt and repurchase shares. Given the […]

Back to Value as Economic Recovery Becomes More Sustainable

Northlake’s Style model shifted back to Value after a one month stay at Growth. The model is in transition with mixed signals that are straddling the line between growth and value. The monthly signal volatility is not unusual when a long running signal reaches its conclusion. Prior to last month, the Style model had been […]

Discovery Communications: Story is Fine But Quarter Required Perfection

Discovery Communications (DISCK) reported good 3Q10 results. EBITDA beat estimates indicating fundamental health of the business but EPS missed due to incentive compensation costs related to the steadily rising stock price. Also disappointing was an almost complete lack of share repurchases. DISCK reported after the close on Tuesday, a week ago. The stock had closed […]

CBS: Is Good Quarter and Buyback Enough?

CBS reported slightly better than expected results in 3Q10. Revenues fell a little short of expectations at $3.3 billion. Estimates called for an additional $60 million. However, excellent margins led to EBITDA of $667 million, ahead of estimates for $642 million. The operating beat flowed through to EPS and the adjusted EPS of 35 cents […]