Why I Bought News Corporation

Back in July, I wrote a review of News Corporation for RealMoney.com outlining the bull case. The analysis remains relevant today so in light of the purchase of News Corporation shares for Northlake clients earlier this week, I am reproducing the article so you can learn more about this new holding…. I like News Corporation […]

DVD Sales Moderately Weak But No Disaster

I still got my eye on holiday DVD sales. Data is now available at the-numbers.com through December 16th. This includes the launch of the latest Harry Potter film and the second week of sales for Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End. Please note that this data is for the US only. This could be […]

Selling Comcast. Buying News Corporation.

Partially driven by tax considerations, I sold Northlake’s entire position in Comcast yesterday. I used the proceeds to purchase a full position in News Corporation. I completed this trade across Northlake’s entire base of separately managed client accounts and in my two main personal accounts. The Comcast long proved to be disastrous. My analysis of […]

TV Ad Market Strong. For Now.

On Monday, the New York Post reported that scatter market TV advertising on the big four broadcast networks is running up 18%. Scatter market represents TV ad inventory available for sale on the spot market. This price increase is occurring despite another year of accelerated declines in ratings for prime time network TV shows. What […]

Box Office Recovery Continues

The box office continued its late year recovery with the three day weekend for the top 12 films rising 40% from a year ago. This strong performance builds the prior weekend’s gain of 37%. As recently as December 13th, the quarterly box office was running down 9.5% but two weekends of strong gains have reduced […]

Impact of Presidential Election

There is a lot more on investor’s minds these days than the 2008 Presidential election. However, the Iowa caucuses are just 16 days away and recent polls indicate the races in both parties are extremely unpredictable. Who knows if past market patterns in Presidential election years will hold given the overwhelming focus on the health […]

DVD Sales Mixed So Far

Just before Thanksgiving I highlighted my concerns that holiday spending on DVDs could be weaker than expected. At the time, I identified two potential problems. First, the studios have to deal with a generally weak holiday spending environment. Second, the amazing success of the box office this summer put a glut of high profile DVDs […]

A Legendary Weekend At The Box Office

Proving once again that people will buy tickets when there is appealing in the theatres, the weekend box office rose 38% for the top twelve films according to BoxOfficeMojo.com. It’s easy to point to home theatres or digital distribution but this past weekend and last summer showed that demand for the movie theatre experience remains […]

The Writer’s Strike Is About To Bite

I am surprised that the talks broke off between writers and producers. When the strike was launched there was a lot of discussion on both sides about how close they were to a deal. I figured that when they decided to start up negotiations again under a strict blackout a deal was at hand. My […]

UBS Media Conference Recap

I’m back in Chicago and have had some time to digest the UBS Media and Communications Conference. Below are brief comments from every presentation I attended. As you read, keep in mind that I found the general background of the conference to be cautious. This impression is based mostly on the uncertain advertising environment and […]