December 2008 Model Updates

There are no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for December. I continue to own Small Cap (IWM/IJR) and Value (IWD/IVE) for personal and client funds . As a reminder, Northlake uses monthly models to rotate ETFs trying to capture excess return relative to the S&P 500 (SPY). The models are designed to […]

Why You Should Own Time Warner

Time Warner (TWX) is one of the world’s leading entertainment companies. The company owns AOL, 84% of Time Warner Cable (TWC) , Warner Brothers, HBO and a leading stable of cable networks including TNT, TBS and CNN. Time Warner also still owns its iconic magazine titles including Time, People and Sports Illustrated. In early 2009, […]

Why You Should Own Discovery Communications

Discovery Communications (DISCA) is one of the world’s largest providers of cable networks, with projected 2008 revenue in excess of $3.4 billion. The company operates over 100 channels around the world in more than 170 countries reaching 1.5 billion subscribers. In the U.S., its best-known networks are Discovery Channel, TLC and Animal Planet. DISCA is […]

Latest Market Comments

The market has just been brutal. I have incorrectly thought the whole way down that stocks were reflecting a worse economic reality than was likely to occur. Obviously, this view has been proven wrong. I do believe that the market and the economic outlook are now in sync but that won’t help until the economic […]

Why You Should Own Dreamworks Animation

This will be the first in a new series of columns I will write titled “Why You Should Own…” The first stock is Dreamworks Animation (DWA) . DWA is currently trading at $21, a new 52-week low. The 52-week high was $32.73 on Sept. 2. The market cap is $1.9 billion. At the end of […]

Trying to Explain Why I still Like CETV

It is embarrassing to write about Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) given that I have owned it for Northlake clients and bought more and spoke positively about it all the way down, but I am not one to hide my screw-ups. This column is a bit long, but I owe clients and readers a detailed […]

“They Just Haven’t Seen It Yet”

Yesterday, late in the day upon returning from a tech conference my RealMoney.com colleague Bob Faulkner wrote, ” Now the bear in me will say they just haven’t seen it yet but, who knows?” in relation to solar demand at MEMC Electronics. I’ve got a longer column coming up today facing up to the pain […]

Update on DWA Trade

After sharp sell-off earlier this week, Dreamworks Animation shares reversed hard yesterday and are up again today even as the market trades to its daily lows. I got long DWA recently because of my confidence that (1) Madagascar 2 will exceed analyst estimates for domestic box office, and (2) Kung Fu Panda DVD sales will […]

Dreaming of Gains. Again.

The weak action yesterday in Dreamworks Animation (DWA) following the better than expected opening of Madagascar 2: Escape 2 Africa led me to buy DWA shares again for a trade. I am looking to for a move north of $30 assuming the film continues to track toward greater than $200 million domestically. The prior trade […]

Box Office Surging

The expected surge in the fourth quarter box office is back on track after an interruption for Halloween falling on a Friday night. Madagascar 2 brought in a better than expected $63 million and Role Models surprised with $19 million to push the weekend box office up 32% from a year ago for the top […]