Tweaking the Models and Switching from Value to Growth

Over the past couple of months I have been working with Ned Davis Research on updates to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models. Ned Davis originally developed these models about 20 years ago and I began using them around 1999. During this time, I have periodically worked with Ned Davis to analyze the models. The […]

Another Good Quarter and Maybe Regulatory Clarity for Comcast

In a tough year for media and entertainment stocks, Comcast (CMCSK) has been a good performer rising 11% through October, a bit ahead of the S&P 500. As the just reported third quarter revealed, performance would be even better if not for the headwinds that have buffeted media and entertainment stocks. The good news is […]

ClubCorp Holdings: On The Tee For Gains

ClubCorp Holdings (MYCC) is the largest owner-operator of private country clubs and business clubs in the United States. MYCC recently completed the acquisition of Sequoia Golf, the third largest owner-operator of country clubs, and now owns or operates over 200 clubs in more than 26 states. Clubs are somewhat clustered in warmer clients with Texas […]

Google and Apple: A Tale of Momentum

Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL) reported in the past week, kicking off another round of quarterly earnings reports for stocks held in Northlake client accounts. GOOG and AAPL compete directly on operating systems (iOS vs. Android) and the desire to control the largest ecosystem of online consumers. Northlake will continue to hold both stocks in […]

Large Caps and Value Remain Favored Themes

There are no changes to the recommendations from Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for October. The Market Cap model is recommending large caps for the second consecutive month. The Style model is sticking with value, which was first recommended in April. With no changes to the favored themes for October, client portfolios using the […]

Large Cap and Value Favored for September

There are no changes to the recommendations from Northlake’s models for September. The Market Cap model favors large cap for the second consecutive month. The Style model is recommending value as it has since February. As a result of the latest model readings, there will be no changes to Northlake client holdings that follow the […]

June Quarter Media Earnings Recap

Every quarter most of the major companies and most of Northlake’s individual stock positions all report during the same week. This occurred during the week just ending. It is a crazy time of conference calls, research reports, volatile stocks, more conference calls, and even more conference calls! There is a benefit to all this as […]

Shifting to Large Cap

After an eight month run favoring mid cap, Northlake’s Market Cap model shifted to large cap for August. As a result of this shift, client positions in the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY) have been sold and proceeds reinvested into the S&P 500 (MDY). There was no change this month to the Style mod, which […]

Earnings Updates: Apple, Google, and Qualcomm

This quarter I am trying a different approach that hopefully saves clients time and increases readership of the quarterly earnings updates. I will write short paragraphs on several companies at a time as they report highlighting a few key items in the reports and looking ahead to future potential of each stock. Earnings season is […]

Mid Cap and Value Remain in Favor

There are no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for July. The favored themes remain Mid Cap and Value for at least another month. Given the strength of the current signals, I think that Mid Cap and Value probably will last at least two more months but given volatile economic data and 2014’s […]