Sherwin Williams Reports Improved Outlook for 2018

Sherwin Williams (SHW) reported strong 2Q18 results and increased guidance for the year, reversing the reduced guidance from last quarter. Initial EPS guidance for 2018 of $19.05 was previously reduced to $18.65 reflecting new investments in an expanded partnership with Lowe’s, but SHW now expects to earn $19.20 reflecting a strong start to paint season. […]

Facebook Outlines Decelerating Growth Outlook

Facebook (FB) shares are down 18% this morning following slightly weaker than expected 2Q18 earnings and more significantly a dramatic and totally unexpected slashing of its revenue growth and profitability outlook over the next several years.  Northlake sees FB shares trading in a range of $160-$200 looking ahead to the rest of the year with […]

Comcast Strength Driven by Broadband

If I told you Comcast had more almost 3% more subscribers today than a year ago, I bet you would think I was crazy.  Well, that is the truth.  Yes, the company is losing video subscribers to cord cutting in favor of Netflix, Hulu or skinny streaming cable-like channel bundles.  But broadband is still growing […]

Alphabet: Strong Growth Continues as Expenses Moderate

Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL) reported good second quarter earnings and the stock is reacting well, up 4.6% to start the day.  GOOG earnings are often hard to understand given the company’s complex corporate structure and strategy.  For 2Q18, the results were relatively straightforward if you ignore the cost of the latest fine paid to the European Union.  […]

Still Prefer Large Caps and Neutral on Growth vs. Value

There are no changes to the recommendations from Northlake’s thematic models for July.  The Market Cap model is recommending large cap for the fourth consecutive month and the Style model has a neutral reading for the second consecutive month.  With no changes, Northlake client assets following the Market Cap model will remain invested in the […]

Moving to Neutral on Growth vs Value

Northlake’s Style model flipped from Growth to Neutral for June.  The Market Cap model continues to register an extremely strong large cap signal.  As a result of the new Style signal, one half of client holdings in the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) have been sold and proceeds reinvested into the Russell 1000 Value (IWD).  Client […]

Nexstar Media Group Reiterates Strong Free Cash Flow Guidance

Nexstar Media Group reported inline but mixed results for 1Q18. Importantly, the company reiterated its 2018 guidance for $13.10 in average annual free cash flow per share in 2018 and 2019.  The political cycle leads investors in local TV broadcasters to look at valuation on a two year basis.  Normally, Northlake tries to avoid a […]

Liberty Global Announces Accretive Deal with Vodafone

Liberty Global (LBTYK) remains a very frustrating investment for Northlake.  1Q18 results were typical.  The company claimed growth in line with estimates with earnings and EBITDA up nearly 5%.  However, the results were boosted by a one-time catch up payment in Germany.  Excluding the payments, growth was around 3.5%.  This type of messaging has occurred […]

Super Hero Fight at Disney as Films and Parks Battle Networks

Disney (DIS) shares remain at a very challenging juncture at the company’s spends heavily on its primary strategic priority, shifting its media networks business to a direct to consumer model.  A key part of this strategy is the acquisition of most of 21st Century Fox’s entertainment assets. In DIS’s latest earnings report, the company indicated […]

Activision Blizzard Starts 2018 with a ‘Beat and Raise’ Quarter

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) reported 1Q18 results above expectations, but provided underwhelming guidance for 2Q18. The full year outlook for 2018 was increased slightly, but still remains below street expectations. ATVI is typically quite conservative with guidance, and combined with the back-half weighted content slate compared to 2017, we expect results to surpass guidance for the […]