The box office continued its late year recovery with the three day weekend for the top 12 films rising 40% from a year ago. This strong performance builds the prior weekend’s gain of 37%. As recently as December 13th, the quarterly box office was running down 9.5% but two weekends of strong gains have reduced […]
There is a lot more on investor’s minds these days than the 2008 Presidential election. However, the Iowa caucuses are just 16 days away and recent polls indicate the races in both parties are extremely unpredictable. Who knows if past market patterns in Presidential election years will hold given the overwhelming focus on the health […]
Just before Thanksgiving I highlighted my concerns that holiday spending on DVDs could be weaker than expected. At the time, I identified two potential problems. First, the studios have to deal with a generally weak holiday spending environment. Second, the amazing success of the box office this summer put a glut of high profile DVDs […]
Proving once again that people will buy tickets when there is appealing in the theatres, the weekend box office rose 38% for the top twelve films according to BoxOfficeMojo.com. It’s easy to point to home theatres or digital distribution but this past weekend and last summer showed that demand for the movie theatre experience remains […]
I am surprised that the talks broke off between writers and producers. When the strike was launched there was a lot of discussion on both sides about how close they were to a deal. I figured that when they decided to start up negotiations again under a strict blackout a deal was at hand. My […]
I’m back in Chicago and have had some time to digest the UBS Media and Communications Conference. Below are brief comments from every presentation I attended. As you read, keep in mind that I found the general background of the conference to be cautious. This impression is based mostly on the uncertain advertising environment and […]
Morgan Stanley, which was early, aggressive, and correct with a bearish outlook for cable stocks upgraded its industry outlook yesterday to attractive. Comcast was raised from a sell to a buy. Here is a summary from the morning notes on Comcast: “We base our upgrade on three factors. First, concerns over a maturing product set […]
There were no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for December. The signals remain on large cap and growth. As a result, client portfolios continue to own the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Russell 1000 Growth (IWD). It looks like we could get a move in the Market Cap signal fairly soon, however. […]
I enjoyed going on TV with my buddy Cody Willard. Unfortunately, since I debated Comcast with Cody and took the bull side, I’ll probably never get invited back! Not much I can say at this point other than admit the bullish stance I took in July when the stock was $27 was wrong. Nevertheless, I […]
The spectrum auction and build out rules in Canada are more favorable than expected for new entrants. As a result, Rogers Communications are trading down by 10% today. I have already seen two downgrades of the shares. Even with more favorable provisions for new entrants into the Canadian wireless market, I suspect that any impact […]
