Entries by Steve Birenberg

Growth Begins to Accelerate at Liberty Global

As we hoped, Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported a modest improvement in its revenue and EBITDA growth rates for 3Q16.  Revenue adjusted for foreign exchange, merger activity, and other one-time items grew 2% and EBITDA gained 3%.  EBITDA excluding the Netherlands (soon to be part of a joint venture) grew a more impressive 5%.  A variety […]

MGM Resorts Reports Outstanding Quarter

MGM Resorts (MGM) reported its best quarter in a strong run of growth for the company and upside surprises to Wall Street estimates.  When Northlake bought MGM for clients earlier this year, our investment thesis was based on strong management, unappreciated strength in Las Vegas, upside at soon to open regional gaming properties in the […]

Another Good Quarter at CBS

CBS reported another solid quarter, supporting our view that it is among the best positioned traditional media companies in a challenging landscape as viewers use different devices to watch TV and new entrants like Netflix offer alternative viewing options.  With the exception of Time Warner, which is being bought by AT&T, CBS has been the […]

Facebook Strong As Ever But Investors Fret About Deceleration

Facebook reported another strong quarter with revenue growing 56% and operating income up 73%.  Both figures exceed Wall Street estimates despite high expectations.  As it has consistently since going public, management provided cautious commentary on revenue and operating expense growth looking ahead.  Comments about revenue growth slowing next year and “aggressive investment” were almost verbatim […]

Back to Neutral on Growth vs. Value

Northlake’s Style model moved back to a neutral reading between growth and value for November.  As is often the case when a trend change may be under way, the model signals can be volatile from month to month.  In this case, after a long stretch favoring growth stretching back most of the past several years, […]

Tough Comps No Problem For Google

Google reported another good quarter.  FX-neutral revenue grew 24%, better than expectations of 20%.  Given the concern that Google was lapping a tough comparison to last year when the company first added another ad to searches, the sustained growth rate is the biggest takeaway from the quarter.  Growth was driven by 33% growth in paid […]

Boring Quarter and Outlook for Apple

Apple reported largely inline results for its 4Q16 ending September 30.  Guidance for 1Q16, encompassing the very large holiday quarter, also was close to Wall Street expectations.  The shares are trading off several percent this morning following last night’s report and conference call.  We see this mostly as a result of the 25% move higher […]

Comcast: The Cord is Strong

Despite the almost daily articles about cord cutting and cord shaving and OTT services and the end of cable TV as we have known it, Comcast continues to grow at a steady rate.  In 3Q16, cable revenue grew 7% and cable operating cash flow grew 6%.  Comcast added over 200,000 new subscribers and good old […]

Style Model Moves to Value

After sitting on a neutral reading for six months, Northlake’s Style model shifted to value for October.  As a result, client positions in the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) have been sold and the proceeds have been reinvested into the Russell 1000 Value (IWD).  There is no change in the mid cap model coming from the […]

Still Neutral on Growth vs. Value and favoring Mid Caps

There are no changes to Northlake’s models for September.  Mid cap remains favored by the Market Cap model, while the Style model is still reading neutral.  As a result, client positions following the models will remain invested in the S&P 400 Mid Cap (MDY), the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF), and the Russell 1000 Value (IWD). […]