Nexstar Media Group reported excellent 4Q19 results and raised its guidance for 2020/2021 average annual free cash flow by 15%. In a normal market this news would have been greeted by a sharp rise in the stock price, arguably up 5-10% or more. Alas, Nexstar reported right into the teeth of the market sell-off on […]
Activision Blizzard (ATVI) slightly beat expectations for 4Q19 results, with typically conservative guidance for 2020 falling a bit below consensus estimates. Interestingly, Jefferies analyst Alex Giaimo noted that ATVI has beaten initial EPS guidance by 15% on average over the last 4 years. Alongside the results, ATVI also increased the dividend paid to shareholders by […]
ViacomCBS (VIAC) reported more disappointing news with its 4Q19 earnings report and 2020 guidance. The stock is now down about -40% since last summer when the company first lowered its outlook. Investors had thought that management had given a conservative outlook back then but this appears to have not been the case. Management credibility is […]
In our last blog post on MGM Resorts (MGM), we note that after a string of tough quarters brought about mostly due to things beyond MGM’s control, the story was moving in the right direction. Bad luck has struck again and not just with hold in the casinos. The coronavirus has shut down Macau and […]
Disney (DIS) is a difficult stock to value at the moment as the company is “all in” on the roll out of Disney+ and overall transition of its traditional media revenue sources to streaming. The new streaming services are losing money now and likely will for another few years. The traditional media businesses including ESPN […]
Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL) reported slightly disappointing 4Q19 results compared to elevated expectations that existed thanks to a +10% gain in the shares in January to all-time highs. Looking more closely at the quarter, the headline miss in revenues was heavily concentrated in hardware sales, an area where Northlake has little concern. Overall advertising revenues at search […]
Northlake’s Style model shifted to a full growth recommendation after spending two months neutral on the growth vs. value themes. The Market Cap model continues to recommend mid cap for the third consecutive month. Client positions in the Russell 1000 Value (IWD) have been sold and the proceeds reinvested in the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF). […]
Facebook (FB) delivered 4Q19 sales and earnings above consensus estimates, and reiterated guidance for 2020. The stock traded lower, reflecting an appetite for a larger upside surprise. Since last quarter, FB climbed midway into Northlake’s $200-$250 target range based on reaching 20x-25x $10+ EPS this year or next. After the earnings selloff, FB is back […]
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