Good Quarter and Great Guidance From Central European Media Enterprises

1Q07 results and 2007 guidance from Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) are very positive. My bullish interpretation was further reinforced following the conference call and a quick read of the 10-Q. I think the guidance was the primary reason the shares moved up $5 yesterday. I am not done with my spreadsheet yet but I […]

Wrapping Up A Busy Week

I covered eight media earnings calls this week in addition to closing the books on the month of April and getting fresh updates on Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models. Total words written, including this post, are 10,006. I really don’t have much more to say so here are a few tidbits from one very […]

CBS 1Q07 Earnings: I Am Still A Seller

CBS (CBS) 1Q07 results were in line with estimates. EPS of 33 cents matched the consensus while revenues very slightly exceeded consensus. EBITDA fell a little short as margins at the TV segment were lower than expected despite better than expected revenue. I think the quarter will have little near-term impact on CBS shares. The […]

Cablevision 1Q07 Earnings: Going Private But Meaningful

After listening to the Cablevision (CVC) conference call, my initial impression that the cable bears came away with more ammunition should have been a more balanced view. That said, the sentiment battle facing cable stocks is likely to remain difficult while the stocks do not reflect close to fair value in my opinion. CVC reported […]

May 2007 Model Signals

There were no changes to Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for May. The Market Cap model continues to flash an extremely strong signal favoring large caps. The Style model continues to flash a weak signal in favor of value. As a reminder, these models are designed to predict relative performance and have minimal predictive […]

Another Great Quarter For Rogers

Rogers Communications (RG) reported another very strong quarter, continuing a string of positive news that has led to a double in the stock over the past year. EPS in US dollars looks like 23 cents vs. expectations for 18 cents. Revenues appear to be inline at $2 billion. I am hesitant about those numbers due […]

Central European Media Enterprises 1Q07 Earnings Preview

I am having a hard time getting a read on expectations for 1Q07 earnings from Central European Media Enterprises (CETV). I expect very strong results driven by the Czech Republic and Slovakia but I don’t have much in the way of analyst reports to get a sense of where street expectations lie. Isn’t it amazing […]

Time Warner 1Q07: Stock Looking As Good As It Has In Some Time

Time Warner (TWC) reported slightly better than expected 1Q07 results highlighted by strong operating profits at AOL and Cable and better than expected performance against a tough comparison in Filmed Entertainment. The shares are reacting appropriately, up 2-3% so far. I think more upside remains with $23-24 being a legitimate target over the next few […]

Media Madness

Time for some mid-week media madness: • Everyone is talking Dow Jones (DJ) so I don’t believe there is a lot left to say. I think a deal will occur and that News Corp. will be the buyer but I don’t see upside of more than upper single digits in percentage terms (the stock is […]

Time Warner Cable: First Quarter As Public Company Shows Promise

Time Warner Cable (TWC) reported good 1Q07 results. Investors will cheer the solid performance at the company’s legacy cable systems and signs of improvement at newly acquired Adelphia systems. The cable business is very healthy for all companies providing a solid foundation for growth at TWC. TWC has the added benefit of bringing its newly […]